I think he's right

November 17, 2016

In Blog News

Professor who predicted Trump win has another bold forecast about the president-elect

Professor who predicted Trump win has another bold forecast about the president-elect


American University Professor Allan Lichtman, who has been dubbed the “prediction professor,” was one of the only political forecasters to correctly predict President-elect Donald Trump’s ascension to the White House last week. But now he’s guessing it will all come crashing down.

“There’s a very good chance that Donald Trump could face impeachment,” Lichtman told CNN’s Erin Burnett Tuesday night.

When predicting the outcome of an election, the Washington, D.C.-based instructor said he uses his own unique system compiled of 13 true or false statements to determine if the incumbent party will retain control of the presidency. But his impeachment forecast, he told host Erin Burnett, is based entirely on a gut feeling.

“First of all, throughout his life he has played fast and loose with the law,” Lichtman explained. “He has run an illegal charity in New York state. He has made an illegal campaign contribution through that charity. He has used the charity to settle personal business debts. He faces a [racketeering] lawsuit.”

The CNN anchor reminded him — and those watching — that none of the cases the professor mentioned have been proven but are all just allegations at this point. Lichtman pushed back by mentioning the women who accused Trump of sexual harassment during the campaign, noting it was similar allegations that launched the impeachment proceedings against former President Bill Clinton.

And as for the fact that Congress will be Republican-controlled, the professor believes lawmakers would move to impeach because they don’t want Trump at the helm anyway.

“The Republicans are nervous about Donald Trump — he is a loose cannon,” Lichtman said. “Nobody knows what he really believes or really where he stands. He can’t be controlled. The Republicans would vastly prefer to have Mike Pence, an absolutely predictable down-the-pipe conservative Republican.”