April 8, 2016
POLITICO’s coverage of the Democratic presidential primary.
Bernie Sanders is surging in California, according to a Field Poll of likely Democratic primary voters released Friday.
Hillary Clinton still leads the Vermont senator in the state, 47 percent to 41 percent with 12 percent undecided, but the former secretary of state has seen only a modest, 1-point uptick since the last survey was conducted in January. Sanders, meanwhile, has jumped 6 percentage points.
Democrats favor Clinton by an 11-point margin, which is nearly equivalent to the 10-point advantage Sanders holds over Clinton among independents. As exit polls have suggested throughout the primary, Sanders also performs best among younger voters. The poll shows Sanders has more support among voters younger than 40, while older voters prefer Clinton, who also has the overwhelming support of African-American voters.
Sanders has a net favorability of +59 percent (75 percent favorable, 16 percent unfavorable), while Clinton’s net favorability is +43 percent (70 percent favorable, 27 percent unfavorable). Clinton supporters, however, view Sanders much more favorably (+35 percent) than his voters see Clinton (+3 percent), which could call into question their willingness to vote for Clinton in a general election should she win the nomination.
The survey of 1,400 likely voters — 584 of whom are likely to vote in the state’s June 7 Democratic primary — was conducted March 24-April 4 via landline and cellphone. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-dem-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/04/bernie-sanders-california-primary-poll-221711#ixzz45G1R4D83
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